Article Contents
REVIEW   Open Access     Cite

Efficacy of first-line immunochemotherapy by PD-L1 in HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer: A meta-analysis

More Information
  • Corresponding author: shenlin@bjmu.edu.cn
  • DownLoad: Full size image
    1. This meta-analysis compared immunochemotherapy versus chemotherapy in HER2-negative gastric cancer.

      7 monoclonal antibody trials were primary analysis, with two bispecific antibody trials as exploratory.

      Patients with PD-L1 CPS ≥1 showed significant survival benefit, while CPS <1 patients did not benefit.

      Chinese patients achieved greater benefits in OS/PFS than the global population.

      CPS ≥1 may serve as a practical cutoff for selecting first-line PD-1/PD-L1 antibody plus chemotherapy.

  • Identifying optimal PD-L1 expression cutoff thresholds to guide programmed cell death protein-1/programmed death ligand-1 (PD-1/PD-L1) antibody combined with chemotherapy for patients with advanced HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJC) remains a major challenge in clinical decision-making. This meta-analysis included nine randomized controlled trials of immunochemotherapy versus chemotherapy in patients with HER2-negative GC/GEJC; eight trials included Chinese patients. Among the global population, PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies plus chemotherapy significantly reduced mortality risk versus chemotherapy, with a positive association between CPS and overall survival (OS) benefit (CPS ≥1: HROS 0.75, 95% CI 0.70–0.80; CPS ≥5: HROS 0.70, 95% CI 0.64–0.76 and CPS ≥10: HROS 0.67, 95% CI 0.61–0.73; all p<0.0001 vs. chemotherapy), and an OS benefit for intermediate CPS cutoffs (1–4, 1–9, 5–9, <5 and <10). A similar trend was observed for progression-free survival (PFS). The OS and PFS benefits in Chinese patients were numerically greater versus the global population. Patients with CPS <1 did not benefit from immunochemotherapy. In conclusion, CPS ≥1 may be a clinically actionable cutoff for selecting PD-1/PD-L1 monoclonal antibody combined with chemotherapy in patients with HER2-negative GC/GEJC and Chinese patients derived a modestly greater OS and PFS benefit from that versus the global population. Analyses including studies of bispecific antibodies showed consistent results with those only including PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies.
  • 加载中
  • [1] International Agency for Research on Cancer. (2025). GLOBOCAN cancer today. https://gco.iarc.fr/today/en. Accessed June 2025.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [2] Patel A.K., Sethi N.S. and Park H. (2026). Gastric cancer: A review. JAMA 335:439−450. DOI:10.1001/jama.2025.20034

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [3] Li Y., Feng A., Zheng S., et al. (2022). Recent estimates and predictions of 5-year survival in patients with gastric cancer: A model-based period analysis. Cancer Control 29:10732748221099227. DOI: 10.1177/10732748221099227.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [4] Wang Y. and Chong G. (2025). Immunotherapy in gastric adenocarcinoma - a rapidly evolving treatment landscape. Crit. Rev. Oncol. Hematol. 216:104941. DOI:10.1016/j.critrevonc.2025.104941

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [5] Janjigian Y.Y., Shitara K., Moehler M., et al. (2021). First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for advanced gastric, gastro-oesophageal junction, and oesophageal adenocarcinoma (CheckMate 649): A randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet 398:27−40. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00797-2

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [6] Xu J., Jiang H., Pan Y., et al. (2023). Sintilimab plus chemotherapy for unresectable gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer: The ORIENT-16 randomized clinical trial. JAMA 330:2064−2074. DOI:10.1001/jama.2023.19918

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [7] Moehler M.H., Kato K., Arkenau H.-T., et al. (2023). Rationale 305: Phase 3 study of tislelizumab plus chemotherapy vs placebo plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment (1L) of advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJC). J. Clin. Oncol. 41:286. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2023.41.4_suppl.286

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [8] Arkenau H.-T., Tabernero J., Cruz-Correa M., et al. (2024). Tislelizumab plus chemotherapy (chemo) versus placebo plus chemo as first-line treatment for locally advanced unresectable or metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: RATIONALE-305 European/North American patient subgroup. J. Clin. Oncol. 42:330. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2024.42.3_suppl.330

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [9] Rha S.Y., Oh D.Y., Yanez P., et al. (2023). Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy versus placebo plus chemotherapy for HER2-negative advanced gastric cancer (KEYNOTE-859): A multicentre, randomised, double-blind, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. 24:1181−1195. DOI:10.1016/S1470-2045(23)00515-6

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [10] Shen L., Ji J.F., Li Z.Y., et al. (2025). Final analysis of COMPASSION-15: Cadonilimab plus XELOX versus XELOX alone as first-line therapy for unresectable locally advanced/metastatic HER2-negative gastric/gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. ESMO Congress 2025. Abstract No. 2098MO. Available from: https://www.esmo.org/congress-2025/abstracts/2098MO.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [11] Formica V., Morelli C., Fornaro L., et al. (2024). PD-L1 thresholds predict efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibition in first-line treatment of advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma. A systematic review and meta-analysis of seven phase III randomized trials. ESMO Open 9:103967. DOI:10.1016/j.esmoop.2024.103967

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [12] Leone A.G., Mai A.S., Fong K.Y., et al. (2024). Immune checkpoint inhibitors in advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma: A series of patient-level meta-analyses in different programmed death-ligand 1 subgroups. ESMO Open 9:103962. DOI:10.1016/j.esmoop.2024.103962

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [13] Li J.B., Lai M.Y., Lin Z.C., et al. (2024). The optimal threshold of PD-L1 combined positive score to predict the benefit of PD-1 antibody plus chemotherapy for patients with HER2-negative gastric adenocarcinoma: A meta-analysis. Cancer Immunol. Immunother. 73:132. DOI:10.1007/s00262-024-03726-1

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [14] Zhang W., Guo K. and Zheng S. (2025). Immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy in the first-line treatment of advanced gastric cancer: Systematic review and bayesian network meta-analysis based on specific PD-L1 CPS. Curr. Oncol. 32:112. DOI:10.3390/curroncol32020112

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [15] National Comprehensive Cancer Network. (2026). Gastric Cancer (Version 2.2026). https://www.nccn.org/professionals/physician_gls/pdf/gastric.pdf. Accessed July 6, 2026.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [16] Food and Drug Administration Center for Drug Evaluation and Research. (2026). Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee (ODAC) Meeting. https://www.fda.gov/media/184453/download. Accessed May 2026.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [17] Zhao C., Ye S., Chen M., et al. (2026). First-line immunotherapy for advanced HER2-negative gastric cancer: Differences between Asian and non-Asian patients. Cancer Biol. Med. 23:201−217. DOI:10.20892/j.issn.2095-3941.2025.0398

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [18] Zhao J.J., Syn N.L., Tan B.K.J., et al. (2022). KMSubtraction: Reconstruction of unreported subgroup survival data utilizing published Kaplan-Meier survival curves. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 22:93. DOI:10.1186/s12874-022-01567-z

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [19] Page M.J., McKenzie J.E., Bossuyt P.M., et al. (2021). The PRISMA 2020 statement: An updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ 372:n71. DOI:10.1136/bmj.n71

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [20] Sterne J.A.C., Savović J., Page M.J., et al. (2019). RoB 2: A revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials. BMJ 366:l4898. DOI:10.1136/bmj.l4898

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [21] Guyot P., Ades A.E., Ouwens M.J., et al. (2012). Enhanced secondary analysis of survival data: Reconstructing the data from published Kaplan-Meier survival curves. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 12:9. DOI:10.1186/1471-2288-12-9

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [22] Liu N., Zhou Y. and Lee J.J. (2021). IPDfromKM: Reconstruct individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier survival curves. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 21:111. DOI:10.1186/s12874-021-01308-8

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [23] Kuhn H.W. (1955). The Hungarian method for the assignment problem. Nav. Res. Logist. Q. 2:83−97. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-68279-0_2

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [24] Liu D., Zhou J., Wang Y., et al. (2022). Bifunctional anti-PD-L1/TGF-βRII agent SHR-1701 in advanced solid tumors: A dose-escalation, dose-expansion, and clinical-expansion phase 1 trial. BMC Med. 20:408. DOI:10.1186/s12916-022-02605-9

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [25] Kang Y.K., Chen L.T., Ryu M.H., et al. (2022). Nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus placebo plus chemotherapy in patients with HER2-negative, untreated, unresectable advanced or recurrent gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction cancer (ATTRACTION-4): A randomised, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. 23:234−247. DOI:10.1016/s1470-2045(21)00692-6

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [26] Sun J.M., Shen L., Shah M.A., et al. (2021). Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for first-line treatment of advanced oesophageal cancer (KEYNOTE-590): A randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study. Lancet 398:759−771. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01234-4

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [27] Shen L., Zhang Y., Li Z., et al. (2025). First-line cadonilimab plus chemotherapy in HER2-negative advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: A randomized, double-blind, phase 3 trial. Nat. Med. 31:1163−1170. DOI:10.1038/s41591-024-03450-4

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [28] Shen L., Zhang Y., Li Z., et al. (2025). 2098MO Cadonilimab (Cado) plus chemotherapy (chemo) versus chemotherapy as first-line (1L) treatment for advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma: Final results of the phase III COMPASSION-15 trial. Ann. Oncol. 36:S1103. DOI:10.1016/j.annonc.2025.08.2719

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [29] Peng Z., Wang J., Zhang Y., et al. (2024). LBA60 phase III study of SHR-1701 versus placebo in combination with chemo as first-line (1L) therapy for HER2-negative gastric/gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (G/GEJA). Ann. Oncol. 35:S1250. DOI:10.1016/j.annonc.2024.08.2302

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [30] Peng Z., Wang J., Zhang Y., et al. (2025). 298P SHR-1701 plus CAPOX in patients with advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma and PD-L1 combined positive score ≥1: A post-hoc analysis of a phase III study. Ann. Oncol. 36:S1874. DOI:10.1016/j.annonc.2025.10.125

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [31] Janjigian Y.Y., Ajani J.A., Moehler M., et al. (2024). First-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy for advanced gastric, gastroesophageal junction, and esophageal adenocarcinoma: 3-year follow-up of the phase III CheckMate 649 trial. J. Clin. Oncol. 42:2012−2020. DOI:10.1200/jco.23.01601

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [32] Qiu M.Z., Oh D.Y., Kato K., et al. (2024). Tislelizumab plus chemotherapy versus placebo plus chemotherapy as first line treatment for advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: RATIONALE-305 randomised, double blind, phase 3 trial. BMJ 385:e078876. DOI:10.1136/bmj-2023-078876

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [33] Maruyama M., Takeshita K., Endo M., et al. (1998). Clinicopathological study of gastric carcinoma in high- and low-mortality countries: Comparison between Japan and the United States. Gastric Cancer 1:64−70. DOI:10.1007/s101200050056

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [34] Wang J., Sun Y. and Bertagnolli M.M. (2015). Comparison of gastric cancer survival between Caucasian and Asian patients treated in the United States: Results from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Ann. Surg. Oncol. 22:2965−2971. DOI:10.1245/s10434-015-4388-4

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [35] Zhao L., Niu P., Zhao D., et al. (2021). Regional and racial disparity in proximal gastric cancer survival outcomes 1996-2016: Results from SEER and China National Cancer Center database. Cancer Med. 10:4923−4938. DOI:10.1002/cam4.4033

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [36] Xing Y., Hosaka H., Moki F., et al. (2024). Gender differences in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma. J. Clin. Med. 13:2524. DOI:10.3390/jcm13092524

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [37] Theuer C.P., Kurosaki T., Ziogas A., et al. (2000). Asian patients with gastric carcinoma in the United States exhibit unique clinical features and superior overall and cancer specific survival rates. Cancer 89:1883−1892. DOI:3.3.co;2-8">10.1002/1097-0142(20001101)89:9<1883::aid-cncr3>3.3.co;2-8

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [38] Chiarello M.M., Fico V., Pepe G., et al. (2022). Early gastric cancer: A challenge in Western countries. World J. Gastroenterol. 28:693−703. DOI:10.3748/wjg.v28.i7.693

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [39] Yao J.C., Schnirer II, Reddy S., et al. (2002). Effects of sex and racial/ethnic group on the pattern of gastric cancer localization. Gastric Cancer 5:208−212. DOI:10.1007/s101200200036

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [40] Wu S.P., Keshavjee S.H., Yoon S.S., et al. (2023). Survival outcomes and patterns of care for stage II or III resected gastric cancer by race and ethnicity. JAMA Netw. Open 6:e2349026. DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.49026

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [41] Jia F., Teer J.K., Knepper T.C., et al. (2017). Discordance of somatic mutations between Asian and Caucasian patient populations with gastric cancer. Mol. Diagn. Ther. 21:179−185. DOI:10.1007/s40291-016-0250-z

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [42] Gilmore G.A., Barakat M., Chaudhary U.B., et al. (2019). Genomic profile of gastric cancer in the United States versus East Asia. J. Clin. Oncol. 37:45. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2019.37.4_suppl.45

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [43] Tabernero J., Van Cutsem E., Bang Y.-J., et al. (2019). Pembrolizumab with or without chemotherapy versus chemotherapy for advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma: The phase III KEYNOTE-062 study. J. Clin. Oncol. 37:LBA4007. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2019.37.18_suppl.LBA4007

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [44] Shitara K., Van Cutsem E., Bang Y.J., et al. (2020). Efficacy and safety of pembrolizumab or pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy vs chemotherapy alone for patients with first-line, advanced gastric cancer: The KEYNOTE-062 phase 3 randomized clinical trial. JAMA Oncol. 6:1571−1580. DOI:10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.3370

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [45] Zhao J.J., Yap D.W.T., Chan Y.H., et al. (2022). Low programmed death-ligand 1-expressing subgroup outcomes of first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors in gastric or esophageal adenocarcinoma. J. Clin. Oncol. 40:392−402. DOI:10.1200/JCO.21.01862

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [46] Janjigian Y.Y., Moehler M.H., Ajani J.A., et al. (2025). Nivolumab (NIVO) + chemotherapy (chemo) vs chemo as first-line (1L) treatment for advanced gastric cancer/gastroesophageal junction cancer/esophageal adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJC/EAC): 5-year (y) follow-up results from CheckMate 649. J. Clin. Oncol. 43:398. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2025.43.4_suppl.398

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [47] Xu J., Jiang H., Pan Y., et al. (2023). Abstract CT078: First-line treatment with sintilimab (sin) vs placebo in combination with chemotherapy (chemo) in patients (pts) with unresectable gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) cancer: Final overall survival (OS) results from the randomized, phase III ORIENT-16 trial. Cancer Res. 83:CT078. DOI:10.1158/1538-7445.Am2023-ct078

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [48] Rha S.Y., Wyrwicz L., Weber P.E.Y., et al. (2025). KEYNOTE-859: 4.5-year median follow-up of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy for previously untreated advanced HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) adenocarcinoma. J. Clin. Oncol. 43:4036. DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2025.43.16_suppl.4036.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [49] European Medicines Agency. (2023). Keytruda Assessment Report (Procedure No. EMEA/H/C/003820/II/0135). Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP). October 12, 2023.

    View in Article Google Scholar

    [50] Cruz-Correa M., Oh D.Y., Kato K., et al. (2026). Tislelizumab + chemotherapy in gastric cancer: Long-term RATIONALE-305 randomized trial follow-up. Adv. Ther. 43:165−183. DOI:10.1007/s12325-025-03415-0

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [51] Moehler M., Oh D.Y., Kato K., et al. (2024). 397MO Tislelizumab (TIS) plus chemotherapy (CT) vs placebo (PBO) plus CT in HER2-negative advanced or metastatic gastric or gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJC): PD-L1 biomarker analysis from RATIONALE-305. Ann. Oncol. 35:S160−S161. DOI:10.1016/j.annonc.2024.05.312

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [52] Zhang X., Wang J., Wang G., et al. (2025). First-line sugemalimab plus chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer: The GEMSTONE-303 randomized clinical trial. JAMA 333:1305−1314. DOI:10.1001/jama.2024.28463

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

    [53] Peng Z., Zhang Y., Xu H., et al. (2026). Camrelizumab plus CAPOX with camrelizumab based maintenance versus CAPOX alone as initial treatment for gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: Randomised phase 3 trial. BMJ 392:e086115. DOI:10.1136/bmj-2025-086115

    View in Article CrossRef Google Scholar

  • Cite this article:

    Xie T., Zhang X., Peng Z., et al. (2026). Efficacy of first-line immunochemotherapy by PD-L1 in HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer: A meta-analysis. The Innovation Oncology 1:100030. https://doi.org/10.59717/j.xinn-oncol.2026.100030
    Xie T., Zhang X., Peng Z., et al. (2026). Efficacy of first-line immunochemotherapy by PD-L1 in HER2-negative gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer: A meta-analysis. The Innovation Oncology 1:100030. https://doi.org/10.59717/j.xinn-oncol.2026.100030

Welcome!

To request copyright permission to republish or share portions of our works, please visit Copyright Clearance Center's (CCC) Marketplace website at marketplace.copyright.com.

Figures(4)     Tables(1)

Supplementary Information

Share

  • Share the QR code with wechat scanning code to friends and circle of friends.

Article Metrics

Article views(115) PDF downloads(31)

Relative Articles

Cited by

Catalog

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint